Manchester City vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
48%
27%
25%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 3
MAC
40%
28%
32%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1978 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
MAC
3 - 2
WHU
75%
16%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1978 |
LEI
0 - 1
MAC
34%
29%
37%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1978 |
NTT
3 - 1
QPR
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
LEI
0 - 0
QPR
44%
27%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
QPR
2 - 1
NOR
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1978 |
ASV
1 - 1
QPR
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
QPR
1 - 3
WOL
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |