Manchester City vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1961 |
MAC
0 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1961 |
BIR
3 - 2
MAC
56%
20%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1961 |
BBU
4 - 1
MAC
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
51%
21%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
MAC
1 - 3
MUD
40%
22%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1961 |
PNE
0 - 0
LEI
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1961 |
CHL
1 - 1
PNE
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
PNE
4 - 0
WHU
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
BBU
1 - 0
PNE
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
PNE
1 - 0
EVE
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |