Manchester City vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
TOT
1 - 2
MAC
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
BPO
2 - 2
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
MAC
0 - 2
ARS
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
DER
1 - 3
MAC
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
PNE
2 - 0
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
MUD
1 - 2
PNE
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
PNE
2 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 1
PNE
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1951 |
BPO
0 - 3
PNE
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |