Manchester City vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1938 |
WBA
1 - 1
MAC
52%
20%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1938 |
BIR
2 - 2
MAC
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1938 |
MAC
1 - 6
MID
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1938 |
ASV
3 - 2
MAC
45%
21%
34%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
STO
3 - 2
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1938 |
HUR
1 - 3
PNE
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1938 |
PNE
2 - 1
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1938 |
PNE
0 - 0
LEI
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1938 |
BRE
0 - 3
PNE
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
PNE
2 - 2
BOL
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |