Manchester City vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
3 - 2
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
PNE
4 - 1
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1924 |
CAR
0 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
MAC
0 - 0
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
MAC
3 - 2
MID
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1924 |
PNE
1 - 2
WBA
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
PNE
4 - 1
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
PNE
1 - 0
BIR
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 0
PNE
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
WBA
1 - 2
PNE
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |