Manchester City vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
SHE
1 - 0
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
MAC
0 - 0
CHL
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1922 |
CHL
0 - 0
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
PNE
1 - 0
MAC
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 2
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
PNE
1 - 1
SUN
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1922 |
WBA
2 - 0
PNE
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
PNE
2 - 1
TOT
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1922 |
PNE
1 - 0
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
PNE
1 - 0
MAC
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |