Manchester City vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
MAC
4 - 1
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
53%
24%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1920 |
MID
0 - 2
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 1
BUR
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
DER
2 - 0
PNE
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
PNE
1 - 1
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1920 |
PNE
2 - 0
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
53%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
PNE
3 - 0
SHW
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |