Manchester City vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
MAC
0 - 2
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
OLD
1 - 3
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1913 |
MAC
2 - 1
CHL
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
BOL
3 - 0
MAC
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
PNE
2 - 0
DER
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
SHE
2 - 0
PNE
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
PNE
4 - 1
MID
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 0
PNE
83%
11%
6%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
PNE
0 - 1
LIV
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |