Manchester City vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
MID
2 - 3
MAC
38%
23%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
DER
2 - 2
MAC
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
MAC
2 - 2
BCF
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
SHW
3 - 1
MAC
56%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
9 - 1
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
PNE
3 - 2
BCF
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
SHW
2 - 1
PNE
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
PNE
0 - 3
ARS
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
1 - 0
PNE
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
PNE
2 - 0
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |