Manchester City vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1958 |
WOL
2 - 0
MAC
72%
15%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1958 |
MAC
2 - 1
LEE
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1958 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
45%
21%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1958 |
ARS
4 - 1
MAC
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1958 |
LUT
5 - 1
MAC
42%
22%
36%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1958 |
OPA
2 - 0
LEE
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1958 |
OPA
1 - 1
TOT
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1958 |
NEW
2 - 0
OPA
62%
19%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1958 |
OPA
2 - 1
BBU
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1958 |
OPA
2 - 6
WBA
47%
22%
30%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |