Manchester City vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
WBA
1 - 1
MAC
52%
21%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
MAC
3 - 1
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
MAC
4 - 2
SHW
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1956 |
MAC
0 - 1
MUD
51%
21%
27%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
OPA
0 - 0
BPO
50%
21%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
EVE
2 - 2
OPA
47%
23%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
OPA
2 - 3
TOT
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
SUN
3 - 3
OPA
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
OPA
1 - 0
CHA
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |