Manchester City vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
ARS
2 - 3
MAC
74%
14%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1935 |
MAC
3 - 1
BIR
72%
16%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1935 |
MAC
6 - 0
LIV
62%
18%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
SUN
2 - 0
MAC
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 2
MAC
64%
17%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
OPA
3 - 2
SHW
44%
22%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1935 |
WOL
2 - 0
OPA
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1935 |
EVE
3 - 0
OPA
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
OPA
3 - 0
ASV
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1935 |
OPA
2 - 0
EVE
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |