Champions League Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Manchester City vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
CRY
0 - 2
MAC
6%
16%
78%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PSG
1 - 2
MAC
24%
23%
53%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOT
70%
17%
13%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
9%
17%
73%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
21%
23%
56%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
PSG
2 - 1
LEN
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PSG
1 - 2
MAC
24%
23%
53%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MET
1 - 3
PSG
7%
14%
79%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PSG
5 - 0
ANG
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PSG
3 - 2
ASS
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |