Manchester City vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAC
2 - 0
FUL
88%
9%
3%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
FCP
0 - 0
MAC
30%
24%
46%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
5 - 0
BUR
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
OLP
0 - 1
MAC
22%
22%
56%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TOT
2 - 0
MAC
28%
23%
49%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
NÎM
0 - 2
MAR
23%
24%
54%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
OLP
35%
26%
38%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 1
NAN
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 2
FCP
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
STR
0 - 1
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |