Manchester City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
SHE
0 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
MAC
1 - 1
REA
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1993 |
WIM
1 - 0
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
MAC
3 - 0
QPR
50%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
SWI
1 - 3
MAC
26%
28%
46%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
OLD
1 - 1
ASV
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1993 |
SWA
2 - 1
OLD
26%
25%
50%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1993 |
TOT
5 - 0
OLD
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
OLD
0 - 1
EVE
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
LEE
1 - 0
OLD
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |