Manchester City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
MAC
3 - 1
NOR
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
BBU
1 - 0
MAC
25%
28%
47%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1992 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
24%
28%
48%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1992 |
MAC
1 - 1
QPR
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
OLD
2 - 5
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
ARS
2 - 0
OLD
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
OLD
5 - 3
NTT
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1992 |
OLD
1 - 1
CRY
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1992 |
CHL
1 - 1
OLD
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
OLD
2 - 5
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |