Manchester City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
EVE
0 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
MAC
5 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
CAR
3 - 1
MAC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 1
BBU
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
LIV
2 - 1
OLD
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 2
LIV
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
OLD
1 - 1
BUR
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 1
OLD
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
OLD
2 - 1
PNE
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |