Manchester City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
2 - 0
MAC
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 0
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
EVE
3 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
2 - 0
MAC
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
ARS
2 - 2
OLD
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
2 - 1
DER
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
1 - 1
ARS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
DER
3 - 3
OLD
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |