Manchester City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
SHE
3 - 1
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
OLD
1 - 3
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
MAC
3 - 3
SHE
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
3 - 1
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
4 - 1
MAC
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
OLD
2 - 1
WBA
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
OLD
1 - 3
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
WBA
3 - 1
OLD
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
OLD
0 - 2
LIV
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1915 |
OLD
1 - 2
BUR
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |