Manchester City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
MAC
4 - 0
WBA
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1915 |
SHE
0 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
MAC
4 - 0
SHW
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1915 |
TOT
2 - 2
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
LIV
3 - 2
MAC
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
MID
4 - 1
OLD
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1915 |
OLD
1 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1915 |
BRA
1 - 0
OLD
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
TOT
1 - 0
OLD
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1915 |
EVE
3 - 4
OLD
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |