Manchester City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
MAC
0 - 1
ARS
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1913 |
CHL
2 - 1
MAC
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAC
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1913 |
MAC
3 - 0
SHE
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1913 |
BOL
2 - 2
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
EVE
0 - 1
OLD
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1913 |
OLD
0 - 0
WBA
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1913 |
MUD
1 - 2
OLD
74%
16%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1913 |
OLD
0 - 0
MUD
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1913 |
OLD
0 - 0
BRA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |