Manchester City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1910 |
MAC
1 - 0
NTT
60%
20%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
BBU
2 - 0
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1910 |
MAC
1 - 3
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 1
MAC
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1910 |
MAC
3 - 3
SUN
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1910 |
OLD
1 - 3
MUD
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
NTT
4 - 1
OLD
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1910 |
OLD
2 - 1
NOT
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1910 |
BBU
1 - 0
OLD
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1910 |
OLD
2 - 1
PNE
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |