Manchester City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
BOL
5 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 5
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 4
SHE
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
WHU
3 - 1
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1925 |
SHE
8 - 3
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
NOT
0 - 3
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
WBA
4 - 4
NOT
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
SHE
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
BBU
4 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 1
BCF
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |