Manchester City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
MID
3 - 1
MAC
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 0
BCF
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
SHW
3 - 0
MAC
71%
16%
12%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
MAC
3 - 0
BBU
44%
24%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
NOT
3 - 1
ARS
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
BRA
2 - 3
NOT
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
NOT
3 - 2
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 2
NOT
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |