Manchester City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
ARS
3 - 0
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
MAC
5 - 2
LEI
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
EVE
6 - 3
MAC
58%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
BRA
0 - 0
MAC
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
NOT
3 - 2
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
PNE
0 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
NOT
0 - 1
BRI
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
NEW
1 - 0
NOT
78%
14%
7%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
SHW
2 - 0
NOT
80%
13%
8%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |