Manchester City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1907 |
BRI
2 - 0
MAC
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
ASV
4 - 1
MAC
67%
17%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
PNE
1 - 3
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1907 |
NOT
1 - 2
BCF
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1907 |
WBA
3 - 1
NOT
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 3
NOT
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
NOT
4 - 0
TOT
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 2
BIR
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |