EFL Cup Last 16
Global 1-2
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
MAC
0 - 2
TOT
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1993 |
MAC
1 - 0
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
LEE
3 - 2
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1993 |
NTT
0 - 0
MAC
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
MAC
1 - 3
SHW
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
NTT
1 - 0
BIR
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1993 |
NTT
0 - 0
MAC
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
SUN
2 - 3
NTT
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
WBA
0 - 2
NTT
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
WOL
1 - 1
NTT
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |