Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1971 |
STO
1 - 3
MAC
41%
29%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1971 |
MAC
1 - 1
LEI
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1971 |
MAC
4 - 0
IPS
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
DER
3 - 1
MAC
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1971 |
MAC
4 - 0
COV
65%
22%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1971 |
NTT
1 - 1
ARS
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1971 |
SHE
2 - 1
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1971 |
NTT
1 - 0
EVE
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
MUD
3 - 2
NTT
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1971 |
NTT
0 - 2
LEE
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |