Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1970 |
WBA
3 - 0
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1970 |
MUD
3 - 0
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1970 |
MAC
0 - 1
STO
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1970 |
COV
3 - 0
MAC
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 1
BUR
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1970 |
NTT
1 - 0
LIV
32%
29%
39%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1970 |
NTT
2 - 1
SUN
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1970 |
CRY
1 - 1
NTT
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1969 |
WHU
1 - 1
NTT
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1969 |
NTT
1 - 1
ARS
43%
29%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |