Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
LEI
2 - 0
MAC
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1963 |
SHE
3 - 1
MAC
52%
22%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1963 |
MAC
2 - 3
FUL
58%
20%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1963 |
MAC
2 - 5
BUR
36%
23%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1963 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1963 |
SOU
5 - 0
NTT
56%
19%
24%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
ARS
0 - 0
NTT
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1963 |
SOU
3 - 3
NTT
57%
19%
24%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1963 |
NTT
1 - 1
SOU
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1963 |
LEY
0 - 1
NTT
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |