Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
TOT
3 - 1
MAC
60%
18%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1959 |
MAC
5 - 1
NEW
60%
19%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1959 |
OPA
3 - 4
MAC
44%
21%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
MAC
1 - 4
WOL
41%
23%
37%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1959 |
LEE
0 - 4
MAC
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1959 |
BBU
3 - 0
NTT
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
NTT
1 - 2
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1959 |
PNE
3 - 5
NTT
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1959 |
NTT
1 - 0
ASV
64%
18%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1959 |
NTT
1 - 7
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |