Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
14%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 2
MUD
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
MAC
4 - 1
BUR
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
BUR
2 - 1
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
SHW
4 - 5
MAC
48%
21%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1957 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
47%
22%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
NTT
5 - 2
SHW
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
NTT
2 - 3
NEW
52%
22%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 4
NTT
61%
20%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
PNE
2 - 0
NTT
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1957 |
EVE
1 - 1
NTT
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |