Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 0
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
SUN
2 - 0
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 0
LIV
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 0
SHW
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
MID
3 - 0
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
NTT
0 - 2
BCF
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
NTT
1 - 1
BRI
55%
21%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 1
NTT
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1909 |
BRA
1 - 1
NTT
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
NTT
1 - 0
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |