Manchester City vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
FUL
3 - 3
MAC
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BBU
1 - 0
MAC
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
BRI
1 - 2
MAC
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 0
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 0
NOR
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 0
CRY
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
ROC
1 - 1
NOR
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |