Manchester City vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 2
ARS
21%
24%
55%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
NEW
4 - 3
MAC
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 0
MAC
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
ARS
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 3
EVE
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
WBA
0 - 0
NOR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 2
OPA
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
3 - 0
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |