Manchester City vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1947 |
WBA
3 - 1
MAC
47%
21%
32%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1947 |
SHW
1 - 0
MAC
34%
24%
41%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1947 |
MAC
2 - 0
WHU
76%
14%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1947 |
BRA
1 - 1
MAC
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1947 |
MAC
1 - 0
BUR
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1947 |
NEW
4 - 2
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1947 |
LUT
6 - 3
NEW
85%
9%
6%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1947 |
NEW
0 - 3
BIR
25%
22%
52%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1947 |
NEW
2 - 0
BCF
44%
23%
33%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1947 |
NEW
1 - 3
BRA
43%
21%
36%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |