Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1994 |
SOU
0 - 1
MAC
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
MAC
3 - 0
ASV
40%
29%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1994 |
IPS
2 - 2
MAC
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1994 |
OLD
0 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
MAC
0 - 0
SHE
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1994 |
NEW
0 - 0
CHL
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1994 |
LEE
1 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1994 |
NEW
3 - 0
NOR
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
NEW
2 - 0
IPS
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
WHU
2 - 4
NEW
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |