Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
13%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
LEE
2 - 0
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
MAC
3 - 0
BIR
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
DER
2 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1977 |
IPS
1 - 2
MAC
59%
23%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
MAC
6 - 2
CHL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
NEW
4 - 0
WOL
59%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
QPR
0 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
NEW
2 - 0
LEI
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 2
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
WOL
1 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |