Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
MAC
1 - 1
WHU
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1969 |
MAC
1 - 0
LEI
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1969 |
SOU
3 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1969 |
WBA
2 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
NEW
5 - 0
STO
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1969 |
NEW
4 - 1
WOL
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1969 |
WBA
5 - 1
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1969 |
EVE
1 - 1
NEW
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
NEW
2 - 0
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |