Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1955 |
EVE
1 - 1
MAC
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1955 |
MAC
1 - 2
TOT
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1955 |
CHA
5 - 2
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1955 |
MAC
2 - 0
WBA
50%
21%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1955 |
BIR
4 - 3
MAC
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1955 |
NEW
4 - 0
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1955 |
HUR
2 - 6
NEW
46%
23%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1955 |
NEW
1 - 2
BPO
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1955 |
ASV
3 - 0
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1955 |
NEW
3 - 1
WOL
46%
22%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |