Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1949 |
OPA
3 - 1
MAC
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
MUD
0 - 0
MAC
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1949 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHA
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
STO
2 - 3
MAC
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
MAC
0 - 0
EVE
62%
20%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1949 |
NEW
2 - 0
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
STO
1 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1949 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
57%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
PNE
2 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
NEW
1 - 0
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |