Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1932 |
WHU
1 - 1
MAC
49%
21%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1932 |
BCF
3 - 4
MAC
37%
22%
42%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
MAC
3 - 1
BBU
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1932 |
SHE
2 - 1
MAC
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
MAC
7 - 1
BPO
73%
14%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1932 |
NEW
5 - 3
BBU
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1932 |
NEW
5 - 0
WAT
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
MID
2 - 1
NEW
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1932 |
NEW
3 - 1
BOL
62%
19%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
SHW
2 - 0
NEW
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |