Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1924 |
MAC
2 - 0
ARS
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
LIV
5 - 3
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
MAC
4 - 2
NTT
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1924 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
BCF
0 - 2
MAC
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1924 |
NEW
4 - 1
WHU
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 2
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1924 |
NEW
4 - 0
BBU
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1924 |
WHU
0 - 0
NEW
43%
29%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
ASV
0 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |