Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
NEW
5 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 0
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1922 |
BIR
3 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
BUR
5 - 2
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
NEW
5 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
WBA
1 - 2
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
BRA
2 - 3
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
NEW
3 - 0
WBA
48%
25%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |