Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
BRA
1 - 2
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRA
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1921 |
MAC
5 - 1
PNE
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
SHE
1 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 1
SHE
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
BOL
3 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
0 - 1
DER
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |