Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
ASV
3 - 1
MAC
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 3
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
MUD
0 - 0
MAC
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1911 |
MAC
4 - 0
NOT
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 2
ARS
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1912 |
SHE
2 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
NEW
5 - 2
BOL
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1911 |
NEW
2 - 2
SHE
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 4
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |