Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOT
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
BRI
2 - 1
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
MAC
3 - 2
SHW
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
MAC
0 - 0
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 6
MUD
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 1
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 0
NTT
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1907 |
CHL
2 - 0
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
BRI
1 - 1
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |