Manchester City vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MAC
7 - 2
STO
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHL
0 - 1
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 0
SHA
72%
17%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
5 - 0
CRY
82%
13%
6%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
WBA
1 - 2
MAC
15%
20%
65%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 1
NAP
43%
23%
34%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NAP
3 - 0
CAG
89%
9%
3%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
NAP
3 - 1
FEY
80%
13%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 3
NAP
6%
15%
79%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
LAZ
1 - 4
NAP
31%
24%
46%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |