Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 6-6
Manchester City vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HUR
0 - 0
MAC
10%
17%
73%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 2
MAC
13%
19%
69%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 1
SWA
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
WHU
0 - 4
MAC
23%
23%
54%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CRY
0 - 3
MAC
16%
21%
63%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MON
5 - 0
MET
81%
14%
5%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
MPL
1 - 2
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
NIC
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 5
MON
14%
21%
65%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |