Manchester City vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 4
CEL
91%
7%
2%
|
100 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
81%
12%
7%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 1
WHU
83%
12%
5%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
TOT
0 - 2
MAC
12%
18%
70%
|
100 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FUL
0 - 4
MAC
8%
15%
77%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
ACM
11%
19%
70%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
ROM
5 - 2
ACM
36%
24%
40%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ACM
3 - 3
SAL
82%
13%
5%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 1
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ACM
5 - 1
CAG
78%
15%
7%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |